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Monday, February 6, 2012

Explanation of Trade Entry and Close of Trade

Entered the short position for several reasons:
  1. 15-min Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) Line: showed a bearish divergence -- higher closing price on SPY was NOT matched by a higher A/D Line value
  2. 5-min chart, % D Fast Stochastic (% K Interval: 30, %D Interval: 6) hit a reading of 90, which is "overbought" short term
  3. 5-min chart, % D Fast Stochastic for SPY > % D Fast Stochastic for IYT (Dow Transport ETF, a good leading indicator of market direction). This is a bearish divergence.
  4. NYSE TRIN Index Stochastic > SDS (inverse bearish ETF on SPY). This is a bearish divergence for SPY.

Covered for the following reason:

  1. As market traded off, TRIN Index Stochastic did not move with the sell off...that is a bullish divergence, short-term.
  2. TRIN Index MACD Histogram readings continue to decline, which is bullish for SPY

Conclusion: Turned into a very short term, but easy, profitable trade...will never go broke taking a profit!

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